Bounty expected-value calculator
Estimate whether a public bounty justifies your time before coding. This is a decision aid—not proof of availability, acceptance, or payment.
Probability-adjusted reward—
Expected net value—
Break-even work limit—
Expected value per hour—
Do not inflate the probability
- Lower it when another contributor is assigned or a matching PR exists.
- Lower it when acceptance criteria, payer, amount, asset, or payout trigger are unclear.
- Use zero until any required maintainer confirmation is received.
- Record actual outcomes later; advertised rewards are not revenue.